Analysis of Disadvantages: Scenarios and Intrinsicness

Bill Brewster, Emory University

1984, Waging War on Poverty

The key to good debate is analysis. While debaters will often comment on other debaters who make good arguments, judges reserve their praise for debaters who exhibit superior analysis. Although almost everyone can be taught to make an argument, learning to analyze various positions during the course of a debate requires experince in competitive situations. The purpose of this essay is to present both a practical and a theoretical look at different roles in which analysis plays a critical role.

Broad topics have led a growing number of teams to resort largely to generic positions. By generic, I am referring to that genre of argument which seeks to link a particular aspect of one position to a disadvantage which has substantial impact. In its most widely used sense, the one which shall be used here, a generic is a negative disadvantage which links the affirmative to a large, well-developed impact, e.g. nuclear war, Malthus, etc. The risk of generic argumentation has left debaters and judges alike unsure of how to evaluate many of the debates in which they participate. Instead of suggesting a particular formula for this decision, such as probability times impact, this essay will first explore techniques which affirmative and negative teams alike can utilize and will then investigate a device open to affirmative teams which may help them to combat generic argumentation.

The evaluation of risk depends, largely, upon the scenario under which the particular event is assumed to occur. By scenario, I am referring to the timing, magnitude, and location of a particular situation. Each of these characteristics plays a critical role in evaluating argumentation.

The timing of a particular occurence often plays the critical role in determining the positive or negative characteristics of any given impact. For example, one position sure to be popular this year is the growth argument. while many debaters and judges find these arguments appealing because of the tremendous significance they can attain, the large impacts to growth, pro and con, raise serious questions as to the actual probability of the particular occurence. Once the liklihood of occurence is established, the timing of the growth will usually then be critical. For instance, an affirmative which employed all United States citizens could probably claim that they will cause economic growth, which would presumably be beneficial for a variety of reasons. But, a resourceful negative team, instead of jumping on the "meatball express," might instead argue that, given the already expanding U.S. economy, increasing growth now would only increase interest rates, choke-off present growth, and result in lower long-term growth. Here, the timing of the increased growth could play an important role. If the growth were modest, the effect may be to sustain the recovery, but if the growth were large, the effects could be counterproductive.

The specifics of a particular impact which are critical to useful analysis include the "location" of the occurence. For example, many teams will extend the growth debate overseas, arguing that U.S. growth will affect development in other countries. While many debaters will then dive straight into their growth good/bad briefs, the resourceful debater will wonder which countries the growth is most likely to affect. While growth in Brazil might cause deforestation, growth in Mexico may stabilize world oil prices. Similarly, while nuclear proliferation may destabilize Northern Asia or West Germany, proliferation may serve to stabilize Latin America or Africa. Quite clearly, the specific ramifications of an event frequently depend upon the placement of the effects.

These suggestions regarding evaluation of particular arguments may seem simple and straightforward, and they are just that. Unfortunately, these issues receive little attention in most debate rounds. Finally, while I seek to emphasize these issues, I do not present them as broad answers to a team who fails to research. Instead, I believe that an emphasis on specifics, the effects of growth in particular regions of the United States or different parts of the world, would serve to enhance the emphasis placed on quality research and, in addition, place increased emphasis on the value of analysis.

The rise of generic positions which the affirmative is not prepared to refute with specific responses has led to increasing reliance on so-called "generic answers." Most debaters are familiar with the simplest of these responses, such as uniqueness and threshold answers, but beyond these tag lines the substance of various arguments is frequently lost. One argument, in particular, suffering from this lack of development is the "intrinsicness" position. Because new debate arguments require explanation and defense in debate rounds, the lack of acceptance of this argument by many has been simply because they have not heard it defended extensively as a position. As with any argument, utilizing the intrinsicness reponse will require the affirmative to be prepared to defend successfully the theoretical and practical ramifications of their position.

The affirmative, by arguing that a disadvantage is not intrinsic, is saying that the avoidance of the disadvantage does not require rejection of the affirmative plan. In this broad sense, the intrinsicness position is a powerful response to a wide range of potential arguments. This essay will attempt to interrelate the theoretical and practical ramifications of this position by first laying forth the assumptions of the argument and then presenting various issues in light of a particular example. In this example, the negative argues that by increasing employment, the affirmative plan will cause a shortfall of recruits into the military and, as a result, lead to the introduction of the draft (which, they argue, is inequitable and makes the U.S. more likely to go to war). Two
'intrinsicness' responses which come to mind revolve around both the link and the impact of this argument. First, higher incentives could be offered to attract more persons into the military. Second, the use of the draft in peacetime could be banned. Before addressing the further ramifications of this example, the theoretical assumptions will be outlined.

The "intrinsicness" position can assume a base from a number of different theoretical assumptions. First, the debate can be viewed as a "test of the resolution." If various programs can serve to eliminate the problems attendant to the resolution, the problems fail to serve as reasons to reject the resolution. Observers will note that this position reflects largely a hypothesis testing paradigm. Yet, contrary to popular assumption, it seems that this view need not be the case. The debate, in a Policy-making framework, may be viewed as an attempt to establish United States' employment policy. Quite simply, if one were a Congressman attempting to establish employment policy, re-election would be doubtful if one "gave up" every time potential problems arose. Instead, proponents of programs suggest alternative programs and riders to the original proposal which would serve to present the optimal policy. Accordingly, the advantages of the alternative programs would not serve to justify the employment programs, but merely provide a useful and practical framework for evaluating its merits.

A number of straightforward criteria provide an outline for effective utilization of the intrinsicness argument. First, as with any argument, the position must be clearly labeled and explained. In particular, this requirement means that the specific "alternative" isolated must be clearly identified. Second, and most important, the efficacy of the suggested alternative must be successfully defended. As simple as these two criteria seem, their neglect is probably the cause of the negative connotations frequently associated with intrinsicness arguments. Because the position is often first enunciated in first affirmative rebuttal, these requirements become more exacting. If a debater is to defend successfully the intrinsicness position, s/he will find that clear, concise defenses of the theoretical and practical implications are often necessary at the time the argument is presented. Failing to do this puts the decision of legitimacy and ramifications back in the exclusive hands of the judges instead of the debaters. From this background, I shall now seek to draw the previously outlined example into the practical applications portion of this essay.
The questions revolving around intrinsicness arguments frequently include the necessity for the alternative to be topical, the need to establish propensity for the alternative, the issue of time constraints, and the possible usurpation of negative ground. While each of these concerns has a varying level of impact on the position, I hope that the importance placed on any of them as a legitmate concern can be erased by the ensuing discussion.

Frequently, second negative rebuttalists can be heard exclaiming that a particular alternative isolated by the affirmative is not topical, hence, for some generally unexplained reason, not legitimate. I believe that this criticism of the intrinsicness positon confuses the argument with the attempt by an affirmative to "change the plan." Since the first intrinsicness argument, providing employment incentives for the military, is arguably topical, this position is more likely to be heard with the second, banning the draft. Two different positions would seem to make intrinsicness viable. First, the affirmative could argue that the judge, assuming that s/he can "influence" employment policy, should assume that s/he can also 'influence' similarly situated positions. For example, a Congressman with powers to approve or disapprove of a particular employment package would also be able to oversee the passage of legislation which also controlled the draft. Second, the affirmative could argue that the judge, given a certain assumed position s/he maintains, should assume the existence of other policy-makers in a similar position to influence other policies. A committee member looking to support a particular program might look elsewhere for the possibility that other programs could be adopted simultaneously.
Similar in nature, but different in scope, is the negative response that the proposed "alternative" will not occur. Note that this is different than the response that the alternative can not work; this position maintains that present policy-makers will not adopt the program. Assuming the alternative suggested is not topical, the propensity argument adds that 'forcing' the adoption of the additional program is beyond the affirmativels right to "fiat." Once again, this negative argument serves to focus on the mistaken interpretation upon which debaters answering this position often rely. In presenting the intrinsicness reponse, much like the presentation of the plan, the affirmative does not argue that the option will be adopted, just that it should be adopted. Negatives who focus their responses upon this position ignore the fact that nothing provided in the topic requires adoption of the affirmative option in isolation. Instead, the more realistic assumption in the dynamics of governmentis that the federal government not only should provide employment, but also follow through with programs which can co-exist and enhance the employment scheme which is devised. Since the first assumption of the debate process is ignorance of the distinction between the actual irrationality of policy-makers and the theoretical rationality of a given proposal, this particular argument does not seem to be a particularly devastating one. Of course, for practical reasons it may be beneficial to argue that a particular course of action is likely to intervene to prevent the disadvantage. For example, a plausible position could be built around the argument that if levels of recruiting fell, the military would successfully pressure Congress to raise the benefits which servicemen receive. While this position may be useful in turning the disadvantage (for example, greater shortfall will force Congress to improve AVF), I want to emphasize that I see the probability of adoption as a concern independent of the intrinsicness argument and unnecessary to successful defense of the position.

Critics of intrinsicness arguments also contend that even if they are theoretically legitimate, they should be rejected for more practical reasons, such as time limits. These persons suggest that the time alloted for a given debate makes an adequate evaluation of the affirmative proposal and other proposals impossible. A number of responses are suggested by the very nature of this argument. First, the standards previously suggested, clarity and efficacy, reduce the distortion by increasing the burdens on the affirmative. If the standards are not met, the affirmative suffers the time burden necessitated by the presentation of the argument. Since the second negative constructive speakers frequently find themselves establishing various responses, such presenting these simple intrinsicness arguments that if the position is seeks to rely upon, the rebuttalist will be required to devote substantial time to its successful defense. Second, the increasingly prominent trend of presenting disadvantages in first negative constructive to be extended in the second negative constructive suggests that negatives who are placed in the position of answering numerous affirmative answers in their last rebuttal have indeed placed themselves in the bind.

Finally, critics suggest that intrinsicness arguments eliminate negative ground. Frequently, this position is framed in the straw-man argument that: "This argument would eliminate all disadvantages." Once again, this broad claim has little basis. In fact, my position is that debates which resolve around the intrinsicness of a disadvantage can be among the most educational. First, assuming that disadvantages must be intrinsic, debates would focus more on the merits of the specific affirmative advantage. Viable negative positions exist in answering affirmative employment and growth advantages with claims that employment and growth are bad. Focus on these positions would be required to reduce the liklihood that intrinsicness responses could take out the link to an argument, given that the link is the affirmative advantage. Second, negatives could focus on the efficacy of the alternatives presented. Not only can all impacts not be corrected for, but not all attempts at correction would be successful or desirable. In the draft example, a negative could respond that the President would circumvent by 'declaring war' (not unlikely given the present administration) since the alternative was to ban a peacetime draft, or that a draft is actually good (it reduces the liklihood of war). These issues are not so far removed from the original disadvantage and, in fact, form the core of the important issues surrounding the military and the AVF. Focusing attention on the practical possibilities surrounding possible adverse reactions to the affirmative proposal serves to enhance the quality of research and understanding associated with generic arguments. Instead of wishful links and nuclear war, focus can be maintained on the actual probability that any particular objection is likely to occur. Third, even if intrinsicness arguments force the negative to reduce the time committed to disadvantages, in favor of more case attacks and greater use of counterplans, perhaps a service will have been performed. The overemphasis placed on "meatballs' has resulted in a serious distortion of the time allocated to other arguments in most debates today.